Pinnacle Dominion Signals fuses beat-rate calibration, estimate-revision velocity, options sentiment, dark-pool flow, and macro regime classification into a single, falsifiable conviction score — built for binary-event tape and the discipline of every-trade-competes-for-capital.
Pinnacle Dominion is built around a single belief: every trade competes for scarce capital. The signal engine grades pre-earnings setups on a 1–10 conviction scale combining beat rate, revision velocity, implied vs historical move, dealer gamma, and regime context — producing two parallel tracks: hold-through and pop-sell, with a Fade-Risk referee.
Composite alpha scoring across ~99 large-cap tickers. Beat history weighted above static consensus. Surprise std-dev, run-up exhaustion, IV rank, GEX, and dark-pool flow all enter the conviction formula.
Every position carries two scores: hold-through (carry to earnings) and pop-sell (exit into spike). A Fade-Risk referee picks the primary track and forces exit-into-strength when crowding is extreme.
Macro classification (STAGFLATION_HOT, RISK_OFF, etc.) sets the dampener. Rallies are sold in gamma-positive tape; misses get punished harder in restrictive regimes.
Append-only journal logs every price fetch, regime change, IV shift, flow event, and exit with timestamps + citations. The source of truth for calibration and the 20-event backtest.
Every binary event scored against both tracks after print. Forced calibration — Fade-Risk thresholds adjusted from realized outcomes, not vibes.
FMP Premium + Unusual Whales for IV rank, GEX, dark pool, institutional delta. Yahoo PIT for point-in-time fundamentals. SQLite-backed registry with Cloudflare-tunnelled dashboard.
The last four binary events confirm the high-Fade-Risk pop-sell discipline. 3/3 print-week fades on premium-multiple names. Read more → full performance record.
| Date | Ticker | Setup | Hold-Conv | Pop-Conv | Fade-Risk | Primary | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | DE | Pre-print de-risk | 4.8 | — | 8 | POP-SELL | +A$334 · vindicated |
| 2026-05-22 | ROST | 8/8 beat history | — | 7.5 | 6 | POP-SELL | +A$2,529 · clean |
| 2026-05-26 | ZS | Premium-mult run-up | — | 8.4 | 8 | POP-SELL | Beat+light guide → −20.8% AH (exit pre-print) |
| 2026-05-27 | MRVL · CRM | Stacked print | — | 8.2 / 7.0 | 8 | POP-SELL | Both exited into strength · vindicated |
Cold and precise. No portfolio slot exists by default; each position must outperform the next-best alternative on a falsifiable score. Conviction below 6 is watchlist, not capital deployment.
No ticker is graded without comparing the option-implied move to its trailing realized move. The delta is the edge; when the option market is paying for what already happened, fade-risk goes up.
If the desk can't articulate three independent catalyst links — fundamental, technical, and flow — conviction is capped. The chain is the brief; without it, there's no trade.
Every print is scored against both tracks regardless of outcome. The journal is append-only — exits, fade-risk calls, and calibration adjustments are all logged with citations.
The dashboard surfaces open positions, regime state, alpha scores, dual-track convictions, and the full report archive. Daily reports are versioned and append-only.
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