Archive · v2 reports

Daily Reports

Append-only daily desk reports. Each is versioned, source-cited, and structured around the seven-stage earnings framework (executive verdict → edge → positioning → technicals → trade → risk → desk call).

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latest at top
Thu2026-05-28
v2
DELL print AMC · AVGO carry · STAGFLATION_HOT regime
SPY 750.46 · VIX 18.53 · WTI $90.40 · 10Y 4.50%
Open book: DELL pop-sell @ 8.1 conv, AVGO hold-thru @ 8.0 conv. Net +A$2,514 unrealized.
FADE-RISK 8/10 DELL · AVGO v2.1 PHASE 1
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Wed2026-05-27
v2
MRVL + CRM print AMC · stacked binary day
Both POP-SELL exits into pre-print strength. MRVL +A$1,594 realized, CRM +A$134 realized.
Calibration: both 5/27 events vindicated the high-Fade-Risk discipline (n=3 confirmed).
FADE-RISK 8/10 MRVL EXIT CRM EXIT
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Tue2026-05-26
v2
ZS print AMC · pre-print exit logic deployed
ZS reported beat + light Q4 guide → −20.8% AH to $146.24. Confirms 3/3 high-Fade-Risk pattern.
Post-print calibration: pop-sell vindicated, hold-through would have lost ~A$1,400.
FADE-RISK 8/10 ZS EXIT post-mortem
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Tue2026-05-26
v1
ZS print prep · earlier v1 draft (archived)
Earlier draft superseded by v2 same-day. Retained for audit trail.
archived ZS prep
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Fri2026-05-23
v1
Pre-weekend mark · 6 open positions
MRVL · ORCL · DELL · ZS · CRM · MDB all held. Catalyst stack: 5 prints in 3 sessions ahead.
STAGFLATION_HOT softening → risk-on. Concentration FLAG at 59% of raw.
stacked binary week 6 open
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Thu2026-05-22
v1
AVGO stop-out · ROST post-print +A$2,529
AVGO stopped @ $411.00 (−A$531) — re-entered later at $427.50 for 6/03 carry. ROST clean exit.
AVGO STOP ROST EXIT
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Wed2026-05-21
v1
DE print · pre-print de-risk · ROST AH print
DE sold pre-print @ 570.82 (+A$334). Vindicated — DE round-tripped 576→540 post-print. Score: POP-SELL win, HOLD-THROUGH loss. Calibration event #1.
DE EXIT calibration #1
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Tue2026-05-20
v1
MRVL TP1 trim · 40 of 81 sh @ $191.46
Trimmed 40 of 81sh @ 191.46 (+A$1,282). Residual 41sh rides to 5/27 print. Disciplined exit-into-strength.
MRVL TP1 scale-out
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Mon2026-05-19
v1
Week kickoff · stack-up of print week
Initial 7-position book. Catalyst-stack analysis for the week. STAGFLATION_HOT regime confirmed.
week start 7 open
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Report structure

§1 Macro snapshot · §2 Regime classification · §3 News scan (24h) · §4 Portfolio mark + P&L recon · §5 Probability blocks (per ticker) · §5.6 Dual-track + Fade-Risk · §6 Trade construction · §7 Desk call

Versioning

v1 reports are the original same-day artifact. v2 reports include calibration backtest results, dual-track formula explicitness, and the Fade-Risk Bias v2.1 Phase 1 referee. Both retained for audit.